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VOL. 10 NO. 15, 23 July 2008
Welcome to the website of the Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, the biweekly journal of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, now in its tenth year of providing leading analysis and understanding of these key world regions. This issue includes articles on Ramzan Kadyrov's position in Russia's evolving political system; Russia's new push to invigorate the CIS; Mongolia's political crisis; and new machinations in the CSTO. In Field Reports, articles on Moscow's efforts to invigorate it's position in the South Caucasus; an explosion at an Uzbek ammunition depo and the government's handling of it; a conference on the SCO and Afghanistan; and Uzbekistan's Eastern relations.
The Analyst will next be published on August 20.
NOTE: JOINT CENTER PUBLISHES BIWEEKLY TURKEY ANALYST
This sister publication to the Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst features analysis and news digests on Turkish domestic and foreign policy. Issue no. 11, July 19, is now online.

IS RUSSIA FORGING A NEW CIS STRATEGY?
As Dmitry Medvedev grasps the reins of Russia’s presidency, it remains an open question as to whether or not he or Prime Minister Vladimir Putin will control foreign policy and what their respective roles in this domain will be. There is no doubt that Putin is building up his own Prime Ministerial apparatus to oversee foreign policy and has already traveled to France and Belarus. But Medvedev’s trips to Kazakhstan, China, and Germany and appearance at the CIS Summit in St. Petersburg along with his major speeches in Germany and St. Petersburg indicate his intention to play a no less important role in this traditionally presidential domain. One area where he apparently aims to make his mark is in Russia’s overall policies towards the CIS.
MEDVEDEV’S NEW ADMINISTRATION, PUTIN’S NEW GOVERNMENT: AN UNCERTAIN OUTCOME FOR RAMZAN KADYROV
Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov appears sanguine about the new-look Medvedev-Putin partnership that has emerged in Moscow. However, despite significant personnel changes in the presidential administration and a parallel government reshuffle, certain powerful politicos in Moscow, who have opposed Kadyrov over the past four years, have managed to retain much of their pre-election power and influence. Disagreements between Kadyrov and this constituency are manifold, but it is the dispute concerning where ownership of Chechnya’s natural resources should reside that is perhaps the greatest point of contention.
MONGOLIA’S POLITICAL CRISIS AND ITS MINERAL RICHES
On July 1 voter unrest over Mongolia’s recent parliamentary elections boiled over into street demonstrations during which five people were killed, 300 injured and more than 700 arrested, leading the government to declare a state of emergency. Underlying voter unrest were concerns about economic issues, including record-high inflation and contracts with foreign mining concerns eager to exploit the country’s vast mineralogical wealth. Seizing on the issue of imminent massive foreign investment both leading parties promised voters a “share of the treasure” equivalent to the average worker’s annual salary. In reality however, amendments to the country’s 1996 Mining Law have yet to pass Parliament, frustrating foreign investors and leaving national windfall profits to the future even as the recent elections raised the issue’s visibility among the electorate.
MOSCOW’S EFFORTS TO STENGTHEN GRIP ON CSTO AND CIS SEEK GREATER IDEOLOGICAL UNITY
At the July 2008 Council of CIS Defense Ministers in Bishkek, members agreed to boost air defenses and jointly celebrate the 65th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s victory in the Second World War. Both agreements exposed the CIS’s wish to follow the abrupt success of its smaller branch, the CSTO, whose structures multiplied and military cooperation have widened. While being a military organization, the CSTO’s formation was primarily driven by the common Soviet identity among its members, therefore allowing further expansion of its functions beyond military cooperation. As such, the CSTO sought an ideological dominance among its members through promoting the Kremlin’s ideological projects at the organization’s platform.

- RUSSIA MAKES A BID TO ENHANCE ITS INFLUENCE IN THE SOUTH CAUCASUS USING ECONOMIC LEVERAGE
(By: Haroutiun Khachatrian - date added 24-07-2008) - ROLE OF INFORMATION BLOCKADE ON ARMS DEPOT EXPLOSION AT KAGAN IN UZBEKISTAN
(By: Erkin Akhmadov - date added 24-07-2008) - THE SCO AT THE TEST OF THE AFGHANI CHALLENGE
(By: Fabrizio Vielmini - date added 24-07-2008) - GOING EASTWARDS – A NEW DIRECTION FOR UZBEKISTAN?
(By: Diana Bayzakova - date added 24-07-2008)
more...

- 23 July 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 24-07-2008) - 25 June 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 26-06-2008) - 11 June 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 11-06-2008) - 28 May 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 28-05-2008)
