UZBEKISTAN AND BELARUS REVEAL SERIOUS DISAGREEMENT WITHIN THE CSTO
By Tamerlan Vahabov (7/15/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
On June 14, member countries of the Collective Security Treaty Organization signed a document on the establishment of CSTO Rapid Reaction Forces. Due to its economic and military potential, Russia will provide the main and virtually the only viable component of these forces. This treaty is symbolic as it seals Russia’s political-military aspirations in the CSTO area.
CHINA, RUSSIA, AND THE RISK OF EXPLOSION IN CENTRAL ASIA
By Dmitry Shlapentokh (7/15/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Recent events suggest increasing Sino-Russian military cooperation, with the participation of several Central Asian countries. Russian Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov proclaimed that Russia and China would hold up to 25 joint military maneuvers this year, plans that have are materializing. In May, Russia, China and three Central Asian countries engaged in military exercises in Tajikistan.
KAZAKHSTAN’S CEREAL POWER AND ITS REGIONAL IMPACT
By Sebastien Peyrouse (7/15/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Since 2006, food security has become a major preoccupation for the states of Central Asia. The situation is particularly bad in Tajikistan, but cases of malnutrition are also multiplying in Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Turkmenistan. In this context, the Kazakhstani cereals market, in constant development, has acquired a strategic character for the whole region, which is largely dependent on exports from Astana.
IS RUSSIA STIRRING UNREST IN CENTRAL ASIA?
By Nicklas Norling (7/1/2009 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Over the past few months, the Russian FSB and other state organs have been pouring out warnings on the imminence of a military conflict and insurgency in Central Asia. These warnings proved partially correct when a border post in Uzbekistan was attacked by militants in late May and a suicide bombing struck Andijan a few days later. To prevent further incursions, Uzbekistan even began digging a 10 feet wide "anti-tank" trench at its border with the Kyrgyz Republic.
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Staff Publications
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, Greater Central Asia as A Component of U.S. Global Strategy, October 2024.
Analysis Laura Linderman, "Rising Stakes in Tbilisi as Elections Approach," Civil Georgia, September 7, 2024.
Analysis Mamuka Tsereteli, "U.S. Black Sea Strategy: The Georgian Connection", CEPA, February 9, 2024.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, ed., Türkiye's Return to Central Asia and the Caucasus, July 2024.
Book Svante E. Cornell, ed., "The Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and the Caucasus" AFPC Press/Armin LEar, 2023.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell and S. Frederick Starr, Stepping up to the “Agency Challenge”: Central Asian Diplomacy in a Time of Troubles, July 2023.
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, U.S. Policy in Central Asia through Central Asian Eyes, May 2023.