KYRGYZSTAN IN 2015: ONE STEP FORWARD, TWO STEPS BACKWARD
By J. Edward Conway (3/7/2012 issue of the CACI Analyst)
As Kyrgyzstan approaches the two-year mark of the April 2010 revolution, its future socio-economic prospects have gone from bad to worse. Anti-foreign investment rhetoric since the parliamentary and presidential elections has encouraged an unprecedented level of instability in the business environment for multinational companies. Foreign development assistance will decline significantly following the 2014 NATO withdrawal from Afghanistan and the 2015 Millennium Development Goals target date, especially given the financial austerity measures demanded by the domestic politics of leading donor countries.
PAKISTAN’S ENERGY FUTURE: INTERNATIONAL PRESSURES AND REGIONAL COMPLUSIONS
By Rizwan Zeb (3/7/2012 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Pakistan’s energy resources are increasingly receding and consumption rising. The only solution to this problem is to import gas. The Iran-Pakistan (IP) gas pipeline provides the most viable option but international compulsions, especially pressure from Washington and sanctions on Iran, makes it problematic.
TURKMEN LEADER VISITS ISLAMABAD AND BEIJING TO BOOST DIVERSIFICATION OF ENERGY EXPORTS
By Jan Šír (11/30/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Turkmenistan is once again at the focus of Central Asian energy geopolitics. While the country’s capital Ashgabat hosted its annual international forum Oil and Gas of Turkmenistan – 2011, President Berdimuhammedov embarked on a quick succession of visits to Pakistan and China. In mid-November, he visited Islamabad to keep Turkmenistan in the game for entering the fast-growing energy markets of Pakistan and India.
THE SOUTHERN GAS CORRIDOR GETS A KICK-START
By Robert M. Cutler (11/30/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)
Azerbaijan and Turkey have announced plans to construct a pipeline from the South Caucasus across Turkey to carry natural gas from Azerbaijan’s offshore Shah Deniz Two deposit to Southeastern Europe. At first glance, this would seem to leave Nabucco and two other candidate pipeline projects that have already submitted bids, out in the cold. However, what is involved is the creation of a format for bargaining where Azerbaijan can assert its strategic interests more convincingly against the pipeline consortia, which by their project-oriented nature have not been inclined to take a broader view.
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Staff Publications
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, Greater Central Asia as A Component of U.S. Global Strategy, October 2024.
Analysis Laura Linderman, "Rising Stakes in Tbilisi as Elections Approach," Civil Georgia, September 7, 2024.
Analysis Mamuka Tsereteli, "U.S. Black Sea Strategy: The Georgian Connection", CEPA, February 9, 2024.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, ed., Türkiye's Return to Central Asia and the Caucasus, July 2024.
Book Svante E. Cornell, ed., "The Changing Geopolitics of Central Asia and the Caucasus" AFPC Press/Armin LEar, 2023.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell and S. Frederick Starr, Stepping up to the “Agency Challenge”: Central Asian Diplomacy in a Time of Troubles, July 2023.
Silk Road Paper S. Frederick Starr, U.S. Policy in Central Asia through Central Asian Eyes, May 2023.