Published in Field Reports

By Georgiy Voloshin (2/2/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)

The recent World Economic Forum in Davos, attended by more than 2,500 high-level decision-makers from all over the world, was the place where Kazakhstan’s Prime Minister Karim Massimov promised that his country would double its daily oil output by 2020, thus reaching the level of 3 million barrels per day. A few months earlier, the Kazakh Minister of oil and gas, who had been traditionally invited to deliver a keynote speech at the Kazakhstan International Oil and Gas Exhibition (KIOGE) in Almaty, told the journalists that over 100 million tons of oil would be exported every year in ten years’ time. He also hinted at a possibility that such a trend might be sustained for at least four decades.

Published in Field Reports

By Joldosh Osmonov (2/2/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)

On January 11, the national commission investigating the causes of the inter-ethnic clashes between ethnic Uzbeks and Kyrgyz in southern Kyrgyzstan presented its report to the Kyrgyz parliament. The long-awaited official results of the commission caused heated discussions for two full days in parliament.

The commission was formed by then Interim Government (IG) leader Roza Otunbaeva and consisted of government officials, human rights defenders, journalists, and other people well known to the public.

Published in Field Reports

By Eka Janashia (2/2/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)

The Georgian government and some European officials view the recently signed Mistral deal between Russia and France as a potential threat to Georgia and to regional security.

Moscow crowned the lengthy negotiations on the procurement of the French warship Mistral by signing an intergovernmental agreement with Paris on January 25. Along with several Eastern European countries, Georgia considers the deal a threat to its national security and a security risk to the Black Sea region as a whole.

Wednesday, 19 January 2011

TAJIK ARMY ELIMINATES ARMED GANG

Published in Field Reports

By Suhrob Majidov (1/19/2011 issue of the CACI Analyst)

The special military operation that commenced in eastern Tajikistan on September 22 after an armed attack on a military convoy, which killed 28 servicemen, continued in early January. On January 4, representatives of Tajikistan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs reported that eight members of Alovuddin Davlatov’s armed gang, including the leader himself, were killed. The special operation was considered a success, but at the same time raised questions about the way the bodies of the eliminated militants are treated.

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Conference Report Cheryl Benard, Eli Sugarman, and Holly Rehm, Cultural Heritage vs. Mining on the New Silk Road? Finding Technical Solutions for Mes Aynak and Beyond (in cooperation with the Alliance for the Restoration of Cultural Heritage) December 2012.

Article Svante E. Cornell, "The 'Afghanization of the North Caucasus: Causes and Implications of a Changing Conflict", in Stephen Blank, ed., Russia's Homegrown Insurgency: Jihad in the North Caucasus, Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute, 2012.

The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with Johns Hopkins University's Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst brings cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.

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