By Pavel Baev (12/19/2001 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: While planning the next move in Afghanistan, strategists in Putin’s team are looking not in the manuals on conflict resolution but rather in the records of Russia’s operations in the region, which go far deeper than the Soviet invasion of 1979. In fact, Russia has been constantly engaged in the Caspian area for nearly three centuries, since the troops of Peter the Great invaded Baku in 1722. All other players, including Great Britain, had to quit the game at some stage, but Russia’s uninterrupted history of engagement has continued through two major upheavals in 1917 and 1991.
By Stephen Blank (1/16/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The attacks on America and the assassination of Ahmad Shah Massoud in September, 2001 have led to a paradox whereby American presence in Central Asia and the broader Muslim world has grown. Indeed, U.S.
By Ariel Cohen (1/16/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The last days of December 2001 witnessed the creation of yet another regional association in the territory of the former Soviet Union: the Central Asian Cooperation (CAC). It was born after a number of bilateral and multilateral meetings in Tashkent on December 27-28 between the host, President Islam Karimov, and Presidents Nursultan Nazarbaev of Kazakhstan, Askar Akaev of Kyrgyzstan, and Imomali Rakhmonov of Tajikistan. The “permanently neutral” Turkmenbashi was absent.
By Anna Jonsson (1/16/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: In a December 17th interview, Putin stated that the Russian Federation de facto granted Chechnya independence. Putin referred to the Khasavyurt agreement, and the troop withdrawals that followed it. He further stated that international terrorists and fundamentalists filled the vacuum that Khasavyurt created.
The Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst is a biweekly publication of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program, a Joint Transatlantic Research and Policy Center affiliated with the American Foreign Policy Council, Washington DC., and the Institute for Security and Development Policy, Stockholm. For 15 years, the Analyst has brought cutting edge analysis of the region geared toward a practitioner audience.