COLD WINTERS UPSTREAM, DRY SUMMERS DOWNSTREAM IN CENTRAL ASIA
By Marat Iskakov and Anara Tabyshalieva (1/30/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: A new heated discussion is taking place between Aral Sea Basin countries. Downstream Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and Turkmenistan demand more water for irrigation from Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan, which are located upstream in the region's river system. Upstream countries possess significant hydro-energy resources: after Russia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan hold the second and third places in hydropower resources among CIS countries.
THE PROSPECTS OF RUSSIAN-AMERICAN PARTNERSHIP: THE GEORGIAN LITMUS TEST
By Stephen Blank (1/30/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: Since September 11th, Russian President Vladimir Putin has proclaimed Russia's desire to forge an equal partnership with NATO and the United States. For that partnership to endure, violence in the CIS will have to be curtailed. Yet both Georgia and Russia are provoking each other in ways that lead to violence.
TURKISH-RUSSIAN RELATIONS AND THE CONFLICT IN CHECHNYA
By Michael A. Reynolds (1/30/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: On January 9, the office of the Russian Presidential Spokesman Sergei Yastrzhembsky announced that Turkey had requested the extradition file for Movladi Udugov. Udugov is closely tied to the radical wing that includes Shamil Basaev and the Saudi-born Khattab, has played a prominent role as a propagandist in the Chechen conflict, and has for periods of time resided in Istanbul. News agencies throughout the world picked up the announcement, and the next day the Russian press was abuzz with speculation about how the request dealt a blow to the Chechen resistance and how it signified a watershed in Russian-Turkish relations.
DEALING WITH WARLORDS
By R. Grant Smith (1/30/2002 issue of the CACI Analyst)
BACKGROUND: The term "warlord" recalls China in the 1920's and 1930's. More recent examples come from Africa, from the Balkans and, in the immediate region of Afghanistan, from Tajikistan. A less pejorative term might be "regional strongman," implicitly in a situation where central power is weak.
Visit also
Joint Center Publications
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell and S. Frederick Starr, Modernization and Regional Cooperation in Central Asia: A New Spring, November 2018.
Book S. Frederick Starr and Svante E. Cornell, ed., Uzbekistan’s New Face, Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2018.
Article Svante E. Cornell, “Turkish-Saudi Rivalry: Behind the Khashoggi Affair,” The American Interest, November 6, 2018.
Article Mamuka Tsereteli, “Landmark Caspian Deal Could Pave Way for Long-Stalled Energy Projects,” World Politics Review, September 2018.
Article Halil Karaveli, “The Myth of Erdoğan’s Power,” Foreign Affairs, August 2018.
Book Halil Karaveli, Why Turkey is Authoritarian, London: Pluto Press, 2018.
Article Svante E. Cornell, “Erbakan, Kısakürek and the Mainstreaming of Extremism in Turkey,” Current Trends in Islamist Ideology, June 2018.
Article S. Frederick Starr and Svante E. Cornell, “Uzbekistan: A New Model for Reform in the Muslim World,” Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, May 12, 2018.
Silk Road Paper Svante E. Cornell, Religion and the Secular State in Kazakhstan, April 2018.
Book S. Frederick Starr and Svante E. Cornell, The Long Game on the Silk Road: US and EU Strategy for Central Asia and the Caucasus, Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield, 2018.
Article Svante E. Cornell, “Central Asia: Where Did Islamic Radicalization Go?,” Religion, Conflict and Stability in the Former Soviet Union, eds Katya Migacheva and Bryan Frederick, Arlington, VA: RAND Corporation, 2018.