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VOL. 10 NO. 13, 25 June 2008
Welcome to the website of the Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst, the biweekly journal of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, now in its tenth year of providing leading analysis and understanding of these key world regions. This issue includes articles on Uzbekistan's foreign policy formulation;Azerbaijan's role as gas producer and transit state; the war in Afghanistan; and a profile of a Chechen strongman. In Field Reports, articles business-stifling tax practices in Tajikistan, Kyrgyz copycatting of Russian strategies, Azerbaijan's first military parade in over a decade, and the new Armenian president's visit to Moscow.
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NOTE: JOINT CENTER PUBLISHES BIWEEKLY TURKEY ANALYST
This sister publication to the Central Asia-Caucasus Analyst features analysis and news digests on Turkish domestic and foreign policy. No. 9 is now online.

UZBEKISTAN’S RECENT GESTURES AND FOREIGN POLICY FORMULATION PROBLEM
During the April 2008 NATO Summit, an interesting new turn took place in the context of NATO’s post-Soviet relations. It was agreed that a railroad line would be created to transport the cargo from Europe through the territory of some CIS countries, including Russia, toward Afghanistan. Soon after this event, in June, an informal CIS summit took place in St. Petersburg, in which Uzbek President Islam Karimov initiated the proposal to merge the CSTO and EurAsEc, perhaps, to promote the counterbalance to NATO. But did these gestures provide a solution to Uzbekistan’s foreign policy woes?
AZERBAIJANI GAS AGAIN ON THE FRONT BURNER
Azerbaijan’s president Ilham Aliev has announced a doubling of the reserves of both oil and gas in his country’s Caspian offshore. New finds in as many of five fields to be developed contain perhaps 50 trillion cubic feet of gas, such as to require a new gas export pipeline. An executive of the national oil company SOCAR has hinted that gas from Turkmenistan could be included, starting even in the near term with small quantities. The French company And although Gazprom has lately offered to buy Azerbaijani gas at near-market prices, probably for re-export to Europe via its planned South Stream pipeline, Azerbaijan has not shown much interest, instead declaring that it will feed the first contracted gas into the rival Nabucco pipeline destined for Bulgaria and beyond.
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS FAIL TO CHANGE AFGHAN WAR FUNDAMENTALS
The military conflict in Afghanistan remains stalemated. Coalition forces continue to win conventional battles against the Taliban insurgents, but the guerrillas remain sufficiently robust to prevent the Afghan government from establishing control over much of the country, or NATO governments from envisaging a near-term exit from the Afghan War. Recent developments in Pakistan threaten to make matters even worse.
A PROFILE OF CHECHEN STRONGMAN ADAM DELIMKHANOV
At half-time during a recent Russian Football Premier League tie between Terek Grozny and CSKA Moscow, the game’s referee was confronted by an especially zealous Terek fan who upbraided the official on the calibre of his first half performance, allegedly threatening him with unspecified repercussions unless his second half performance proved more agreeable. According to Novaya Gazeta, the “fan” in question was none other than Adam Delimkhanov, Chechnya’s representative to the Russian State Duma and a close associate of Chechnya’s pro-Moscow President, Ramzan Kadyrov. This unseemly confrontation in the bowels of Grozny’s main sports stadium belies, or perhaps explains, the undoubted influence Delimkhanov exercises within Chechnya’s pro-Moscow political theatre.

- THE TAJIK TAX JUNGLE: SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST
(By: Sergey Medrea - date added 26-06-2008) - KYRGYZ PRESIDENT, OPPOSITION MIMIC RUSSIAN COUNTERPARTS IN CONSTRUCTING POLICIES
(By: Erica Marat - date added 26-06-2008) - AZERBAIJAN TO HOLD ITS FIRST MILITARY PARADE SINCE 1992
(By: Azer Karimov - date added 26-06-2008) - ARMENIAN PRESIDENT VISITS MOSCOW
(By: Haroutiun Khachatrian - date added 26-06-2008)
more...

- 25 June 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 26-06-2008) - 11 June 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 11-06-2008) - 28 May 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 28-05-2008) - 14 May 2008 News Digest
(By: Alima Bissenova - date added 15-05-2008)
